Home Forums Articles How To's FAQ Register
Go Back   Xoutpost.com > Off-topic > The Lounge
Fluid Motor Union
User Name
Password
Member List Premier Membership Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Xoutpost server transfer and maintenance is occurring....
Xoutpost is currently undergoing a planned server migration.... stay tuned for new developments.... sincerely, the management


Closed Thread
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #561  
Old 05-20-2020, 04:49 PM
bcredliner's Avatar
Premier Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Little Elm,Texas. (40 minutes North of Dallas)
Posts: 8,105
bcredliner is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Happy View Post
PUWAHAHAHAHA.....

You just don’t know when to quit! Do you ever get tired of making yourself look like an ASS?



You have a lot to learn!

Am I still doing a good job? LoL...
Sorry if I misinterpreted what you meant by uneducated. I thought you were referencing schooling. My mistake.

Of course I have a lot to learn, don't we all? I don't think you are an ass because you won't quit but I guess I should based on your view. Yes and you are about to advance to doing a great job.
__________________
X5 4.6 2002 Black Sap, Black interior. 2013 X5M Melbourne Red, Bamboo interior
Dallas

Sponsored Links

  #562  
Old 05-20-2020, 05:00 PM
bcredliner's Avatar
Premier Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Little Elm,Texas. (40 minutes North of Dallas)
Posts: 8,105
bcredliner is on a distinguished road
How long do readers think it will take for the US to reach 100,000 deaths. Based on the the rate of increasing deaths Texas is contributing and that more businesses are allowed to open, my guess is May 28th.

I go with economists because i have no idea what factors or history to consider even though in reality no one knows how long the virus will be a negative impact so everyones guess is as good as the best economist. Averaging out what I have read so far it will be at least two and a half years and likely longer for unemployment to get back to the recent level. My guess is that as virus infection level goes worldwide so goes the recovery rate of our economy. The recovery could also be impacted by who the next President is and whether or not the house and the senate are controlled by the same party as the new President.
__________________
X5 4.6 2002 Black Sap, Black interior. 2013 X5M Melbourne Red, Bamboo interior
Dallas

Last edited by bcredliner; 05-20-2020 at 05:18 PM.
  #563  
Old 05-20-2020, 05:10 PM
Maruzo's Avatar
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 904
Maruzo is on a distinguished road
It’s always easier to destroy than to build. But having experienced outbreaks like covid-19 we are better prepared for the new world order where such disease and virus may very well become more prevalent.

Given the ever rising population density, and the overall deterioration of the living environment, for all living organisms on this planet.
__________________
2003 X5 4.6is Estoril Blue, acquired March 2018
2013 128i M Sport 6 MT Space Grey daily driver
2010 535xi 6 MT Barbera Red
  #564  
Old 05-20-2020, 05:12 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Virigina, USA
Posts: 2,573
StephenVA is on a distinguished road
About the time it takes NY to kill off 30,000 of the seniors in nursing homes...
__________________

2005 X5 4.8IS
The Blue ones are always FASTER....

Current Garage:
2005 X5 4.8is
2002 M5 TiSilver
2003 525iT
1998 528i
Former Garage Stable Highlights
2004 325XiT Sport
1973 De Tomaso Pantera, L Model
1970 Dodge Challenger T/A 4 sp Alpine White
1970 Dodge Challenger T/A 4 sp GoManGo Green
1971 Dart Sport, “Dart Light” package
1969 Road Runner 383
1968 Ply Barracuda 340S FB Sea-foam Green
  #565  
Old 05-20-2020, 05:14 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Virigina, USA
Posts: 2,573
StephenVA is on a distinguished road
Latest tracker report from John Hopkins Univ Hospital Research
States/Territories
Confirmed
Deaths
Recovered

New York (State)
354,370
28,617
61,681

Want to know more about your area? https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/us-map
__________________

2005 X5 4.8IS
The Blue ones are always FASTER....

Current Garage:
2005 X5 4.8is
2002 M5 TiSilver
2003 525iT
1998 528i
Former Garage Stable Highlights
2004 325XiT Sport
1973 De Tomaso Pantera, L Model
1970 Dodge Challenger T/A 4 sp Alpine White
1970 Dodge Challenger T/A 4 sp GoManGo Green
1971 Dart Sport, “Dart Light” package
1969 Road Runner 383
1968 Ply Barracuda 340S FB Sea-foam Green

Last edited by StephenVA; 05-20-2020 at 05:24 PM.
  #566  
Old 05-20-2020, 05:16 PM
Happy's Avatar
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Golden Coast/Lake Houston
Posts: 1,492
Happy is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by bcredliner View Post
Sorry if I misinterpreted what you meant by uneducated. I thought you were referencing schooling. My mistake.

Of course I have a lot to learn, don't we all? I don't think you are an ass because you won't quit but I guess I should based on your view. Yes and you are about to advance to doing a great job.

Ok, let’s look at the evidence.

According to you, my informational posts are ridiculous.

According to you, I am a racist.

According to you, I am uninformed.

According to you, I am not equally considerate as you and others on the forum.

It seems you are capable of grossly misinterpreting the evidence. I think we all have a lot to learn, including me.

I’ve learned quite a bit about narcissism from you, these past few months.

Great job Professor. Keep up the good work, you are making a difference!
__________________
02 BMW 5 Speed Supercharged Ethanol Burnin Meth Injected E53

  #567  
Old 05-20-2020, 05:25 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Virigina, USA
Posts: 2,573
StephenVA is on a distinguished road
OK you two. If you keep it up I am going to have the forum admin send you to your rooms. Let it go, girls....
__________________

2005 X5 4.8IS
The Blue ones are always FASTER....

Current Garage:
2005 X5 4.8is
2002 M5 TiSilver
2003 525iT
1998 528i
Former Garage Stable Highlights
2004 325XiT Sport
1973 De Tomaso Pantera, L Model
1970 Dodge Challenger T/A 4 sp Alpine White
1970 Dodge Challenger T/A 4 sp GoManGo Green
1971 Dart Sport, “Dart Light” package
1969 Road Runner 383
1968 Ply Barracuda 340S FB Sea-foam Green
  #568  
Old 05-20-2020, 05:32 PM
Maruzo's Avatar
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 904
Maruzo is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by StephenVA View Post
Latest tracker report from John Hopkins Univ Hospital Research
States/Territories
Confirmed
Deaths
Recovered

New York (State)
354,370
28,617
61,681

Want to know more about your area? https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/us-map
Very handy info. Thanks!
__________________
2003 X5 4.6is Estoril Blue, acquired March 2018
2013 128i M Sport 6 MT Space Grey daily driver
2010 535xi 6 MT Barbera Red
  #569  
Old 05-20-2020, 05:40 PM
bcredliner's Avatar
Premier Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Little Elm,Texas. (40 minutes North of Dallas)
Posts: 8,105
bcredliner is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Happy View Post
Ok, let’s look at the evidence.

According to you, my informational posts are ridiculous.

According to you, I am a racist.

According to you, I am uninformed.

According to you, I am not equally considerate as you and others on the forum.

It seems you are capable of grossly misinterpreting the evidence. I think we all have a lot to learn, including me.

I’ve learned quite a bit about narcissism from you, these past few months.

Great job Professor. Keep up the good work, you are making a difference!

It very nice of you to say I am making a difference. I think you may have just graduated to doing a great job of responding for me. Keep up the good work, fantastic is next.
__________________
X5 4.6 2002 Black Sap, Black interior. 2013 X5M Melbourne Red, Bamboo interior
Dallas
  #570  
Old 05-20-2020, 05:42 PM
andrewwynn's Avatar
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2015
Location: Racine, WI
Posts: 10,817
andrewwynn will become famous soon enough
Look at some basic statistical realities; as of 9 may, the us hospitals are down below 20,000 beds used for covid; that is 2% of capability. CDC stopped posting updates after 9 may because the will show that the bed requirement is now 'below background noise' but people are afraid to go to the hospital to get their needed kidney or heart surgery it's not great.

With something like 50% of all covid deaths coming from old age homes, and that is maybe 1/2% of the population it makes them 200x more at risk; the high risk class needs to be protected and the rest will take care of itself the country has been ready to open before it closed. The closures were based on models that predicted 50-200x as many deaths.

The 'nearly 100k' deaths are also quite known to be padded; the CDC and Dr. Birx admitted this and advised this in plain english back in April maybe even March. Did anybody notice that flu deaths that were over 30,000 in march suddenly dropped to zero before may? Those people with flu were of course still dying they just called it a covid death.

So; yup 1000s still dying of covid, but the % of which are actually caused by a heart attack or a car accident are literally impossible to know because doctors are putting covid on the death certificate on advice of CDC (though Colorado recently took 200 off their cv death count do to 'not really covid'); the other 49 states have yet to do the same.

If you plotted the actual location of covid deaths on a map it would look like the skinny red lines on an eyeball; 99% of the area of the country is not affected. approximately 1% of the population has officially contracted covid, and 1/33 of 1% is on the official death toll (meaning closer to 1/50 of 1% of the population had a mortal combat they lost).

Had the models been more accurate back in march the world wold not have closed down and the death tolls would not be significantly different (example: sweden). Keep the high-risk people as safe as reasonably possible just like the rules for flu. take note that 92% of deaths include people with significant health risks such as high blood pressure (60%) and obesity (50%). With so many dying coming from old age homes, they may have been on their last month or 6 of life already and covid was just the last straw their weakened immune system couldn't take.

All that said, Next year if covid is still around (sars, the closest thing we have as an example just literally disappeared all on its own), it won't be the first time and we will have experience to use for guidance. The economy can rebound quite quickly because there will be a very strong push to get 'mission critical' manufacturing out of china, which will be a boon for companies to build plants and hire people in non-china locations like Indonesia but also in the USA when the labor cost isn't stupid expensive compared to the alternatives.

see this website from CDC: https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_5.html

look for the weekly report of hospitalizations and take note of the quick decline over the last two or three reported weeks and the oddly missing recent weeks. As long as covid cases can be coped with at a non increasing rate there is no reason the world can't be back in operation.
__________________
2011 E70 • N55 (me)
2012 E70 • N63 (wife)
Closed Thread

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On





All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:41 PM.
vBulletin, Copyright 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd. SEO by vBSEO 3.6.0
© 2017 Xoutpost.com. All rights reserved. Xoutpost.com is a private enthusiast site not associated with BMW AG.
The BMW name, marks, M stripe logo, and Roundel logo as well as X3, X5 and X6 designations used in the pages of this Web Site are the property of BMW AG.
This web site is not sponsored or affiliated in any way with BMW AG or any of its subsidiaries.