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Old 04-15-2020, 07:45 PM
Clavurion Clavurion is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crystalworks View Post
There are models out there suggesting 80% of the US population is going to get infected over the course of this (possibly years) no matter how you react. Quarantine, stay at home orders, social distancing, etc is all slowing down the curve in an effort to not over run the health care system. So far, no hospital has run out of ventilators or ICU beds. That includes NY City.

Letting certain portions of the population get back to work might not be the worst idea in the world for certain areas of the country. We should all be required to wear masks at work though. This virus could be around for a year or more, we can't stay at home for that entire period. You'd lose more lives to suicide and domestic violence than to the virus. And you'd still not have a vaccine at the end of that year.
Most likely 95% or more of the population will get this infection before vaccination or herd immunity is acquired (which for an easily transmitted disease like this would most likely require over 80% immune in the population). Like you said in the mean time health care capacity is the main concern. When the spreading goes linear instead of exponential giving some slack to portions of people would be more beneficial to the outcome. Still high risk people with immune deficiency (also age related) or difficult underlying diseases should be isolated for their own good. And this is just the medical point. There might come time when we have to consider if the economical problems overcome the downsides of the disease. We can't shut down the world forever.
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