Quote:
Originally Posted by bcredliner
I agree, in hindsight, the estimates were grossly over estimated and the number of beds was certainly one of the prime reasons for the shutdown. But closing the country also considered the best way to minimize the cases since it was unknown how widespread the virus was at that time. There was no way to know what states could stay open or should close. Both were based on the success or failure of other countries trying to slow infections to get to the level of control. I don't think the number of beds nationwide was the issue. Rather it was the number of beds that would be needed in individual hot spots. That said, NY as bad as it got, didn't need that many more beds then they already had and that was only for a short period of time.
The 6 ft. distance came from historical measurements of normal non virus travel of saliva from talking, yelling, coughing and sneezing. It is probably based on the worst case of those criteria and some add on to be safe because there is no way to know which one will happen.
I agree that those that die reduce the number that will be infected. However, depending on how many people 1 person infects deaths that might not make much difference. If one person infects only 1 person there is a direct correlation but if one person infects two or more the number of infections will continue to grow and so will deaths The more people one person infects the faster the rate of infection, the higher point the curve will reach and the longer it will can take to get to infections to a level that can be controlled.
IMO, the best way to eliminate an economic impact, minimal safety measures and individual hardships is if we have an early warning system (supposed to be WHO and CDC) and we quickly stop all travel in and out of the county, immediately implement broad based testing and contact tracing and quarantining in large cities that are primary ports of entry for international travelers and protect or stop at least the large gathering places like stadiums and known high risk enclosures like nursing homes and prisons. Also, get our scientist on the ground in infected countries to help minimize the level of infection and doing the best that can be done to stop the virus spread to other areas and countries.
Preventative maintenance.Troubleshoot, Diagnose, Overnight any parts not on hand---fix it right the first time.
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I think that if our leader had taken this pandemic seriously at the beginning, the overall number of infections and deaths could have been mitigated. If our country had instituted testing and contact tracing like South Korea did at the very beginning of the infection our economy wouldn't be in the toilet. If we had accepted the test kits offered by WHO at the beginning instead of trying to develop our own test kits which later proved to be flawed, our country would have been in a better condition.
Hindsight is always 20/20, but when asked by a reporter if he would have done anything differently, our leader replied with No.
We had scientists and researchers in China but our leader cut the budget for CDC, and NIH. He stated that he was a "Business" man and didn't like all these people in the budget. I know there are plenty of people that don't agree with this, but this is America, and we can agree to disagree.