In the past I have said Trump won't go away and he may start his own network. Based on the events of the last month and the fallout, I feel quite different. I don't think he will be able to find a platform that has adequate visibility to maintain control over the republican party or a good share of this followers.

In addition, I think Trump will be convicted and not be able to run again. There are a few republicans sitting in the wings eager to gain the support of the Trump followers but none that I think will be successful enough to win in 4 years. Nor one that is universally popular with the Trumpers.

Without a broad based method of daily communication his followers will not be constantly told what Trump wants them to think nor riled up toward violent behavior and he won't be able to run again even if he does. What he says won't matter much. What they will be hearing is how important it is to end the divisiveness and see actions showing that it can be done. I think they will be echoing it is time to end the divisiveness. I suspect they will become less politically active.

Assuming Biden is able to get the pandemic under control, expand the stimulus payout, reduce unemployment and increase the wealth of the middle class, all of which go hand in hand, they will have less to be angry about. In addition, the republican party will be spending a year or two trying to figure what it should be to regain credibility putting the democrats in a position to keep a democrat in the white house for the next term.

I have been listening to the daily press conferences where several of the members of the Biden administration have taken part. The are extremely well spoken, very qualified, listening, making statements about very logical steps they will be taking to fix problems. I find it uplifting and soothing and extremely refreshing. I come away confident they will be very effective in their position. .

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