- Mexican immigration is a trend that, if it continues at its current pace, will probably benefit Democrats moreso than Republicans.

- Continued growth in the size and scope of the Federal government has the effect of creating more "beneficiaries" of government spending. As a greater % of one's income or possessions comes from government programs, these folks are more likely to vote Democrat.

- Crime is down tremendously in this country over the past 20 years. If this trend continues, people will be less concerned with "law and order" type issues and will be less likely to gravitate towards Republicans.

- Basically, Republicans have lost their traditional message of less government, personal responsibility, personal liberties, and non-activism in foreign affairs. This was their core message until Bush I and II changed the game. The 'Pubs reverted back to that message briefly in 1994 (Contract with America) but only for a 3-4 year period. Until they return to that formula, they will tread water at best.