You are right and I've already looked at the statistics. Problem is, even though I'd put my money on Orlando I am more confident on the Lakers for Game 5. Orlando just posts too much of a risk for me. I'd rather be up with game 5 of the Lakers Nuggets series rather than doubling or losing what I earned in another series.

I only start betting mid series when there is some statistical data to work with. I've almost always ended up regretting putting money down on the first game of a series. Either way, I still believe it's going to be a Lakers-Cavs Finals. Especially in this time, the league, networks, teams etc need to generate as much cash flow as possible. Those two teams and two superstars would rake in the most money. After all, the NBA is a business.