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Old 04-16-2020, 04:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bcredliner View Post
Currently the only measurement of infected individuals are those that are hospitalized. We are just starting to estimate the overall infection rate. The more testing the more accurate the measurement. As long as the overall infection rate is greater than one infected individual infecting only one other the virus is not under control.
I agree testing is paramount. But hospitalizations alone are certainly not the only measured infected individuals. Many, including asymptomatic people, have been tested and are recovering at home. They are also counted in the total infected cases.

I agree with the assumption that an R0 of > 1 means the virus is not under control. I'm not sure I agree with an assumption that we can get the R0 under 1 until we have a vaccine (or build up a herd immunity). If that's the case, we can not keep people in their homes. They HAVE to work. The government is not going to pay everyone's bills. As long as we can keep the health care system from being overloaded, we may have to just be okay accepting whatever amount of people getting infected and possibly dying those numbers are. Just like we do the seasonal flu. It sucks, but I don't see an alternative.
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