Look at some basic statistical realities; as of 9 may, the us hospitals are down below 20,000 beds used for covid; that is 2% of capability. CDC stopped posting updates after 9 may because the will show that the bed requirement is now 'below background noise' but people are afraid to go to the hospital to get their needed kidney or heart surgery it's not great.

With something like 50% of all covid deaths coming from old age homes, and that is maybe 1/2% of the population it makes them 200x more at risk; the high risk class needs to be protected and the rest will take care of itself the country has been ready to open before it closed. The closures were based on models that predicted 50-200x as many deaths.

The 'nearly 100k' deaths are also quite known to be padded; the CDC and Dr. Birx admitted this and advised this in plain english back in April maybe even March. Did anybody notice that flu deaths that were over 30,000 in march suddenly dropped to zero before may? Those people with flu were of course still dying they just called it a covid death.

So; yup 1000s still dying of covid, but the % of which are actually caused by a heart attack or a car accident are literally impossible to know because doctors are putting covid on the death certificate on advice of CDC (though Colorado recently took 200 off their cv death count do to 'not really covid'); the other 49 states have yet to do the same.

If you plotted the actual location of covid deaths on a map it would look like the skinny red lines on an eyeball; 99% of the area of the country is not affected. approximately 1% of the population has officially contracted covid, and 1/33 of 1% is on the official death toll (meaning closer to 1/50 of 1% of the population had a mortal combat they lost).

Had the models been more accurate back in march the world wold not have closed down and the death tolls would not be significantly different (example: sweden). Keep the high-risk people as safe as reasonably possible just like the rules for flu. take note that 92% of deaths include people with significant health risks such as high blood pressure (60%) and obesity (50%). With so many dying coming from old age homes, they may have been on their last month or 6 of life already and covid was just the last straw their weakened immune system couldn't take.

All that said, Next year if covid is still around (sars, the closest thing we have as an example just literally disappeared all on its own), it won't be the first time and we will have experience to use for guidance. The economy can rebound quite quickly because there will be a very strong push to get 'mission critical' manufacturing out of china, which will be a boon for companies to build plants and hire people in non-china locations like Indonesia but also in the USA when the labor cost isn't stupid expensive compared to the alternatives.

see this website from CDC: https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_5.html

look for the weekly report of hospitalizations and take note of the quick decline over the last two or three reported weeks and the oddly missing recent weeks. As long as covid cases can be coped with at a non increasing rate there is no reason the world can't be back in operation.

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2011 E70 • N55 (me)
2012 E70 • N63 (wife)