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upallnight 10-21-2017 10:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fifty150hs (Post 1118843)
I don't know who Spencer is and it wasn't clear to me that's what or whom you were talking about. Doesn't change the fact that calling someone you disagree with a "loonie" is an ad hominem attack. If you think things he says are nuts, simply point out with FACTS, why. Name calling doesn't further the calm, rational discussion.

I'm surprise that anyone with an internet connection haven't heard about Richard Spencer in the past week. He tried to give a talk in Florida and the governor declared a state of emergency prior to his speech.

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry...b0ca9f483a26b3

Crowz 10-21-2017 11:11 AM

I still cant believe anyone waste their time protesting that guys speeches etc. I never heard of him till the nuts went to protest him. Seems kind of self defeating to make a celebrity out of the person your trying to silence or whatever.

upallnight 10-21-2017 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Crowz (Post 1118862)
I still cant believe anyone waste their time protesting that guys speeches etc. I never heard of him till the nuts went to protest him. Seems kind of self defeating to make a celebrity out of the person your trying to silence or whatever.

Perhaps they remember another White Supremacist from the 1930 that spew forth the same rhetoric http://skepticism-images.s3-website-...itler-1930.jpg

Except it was in the Fatherland were our beloved BMW X5 was conceived, but not built.

andrewwynn 10-21-2017 02:02 PM

Any Weapon Box for E53?
 
What Crowz said.

Also, it was very confusing, blkadmin interjected this spencer guy while talking about Leyonhjelm. I was very confused. I believe the 'nut job' comment was directed at Leyonhjelm, though clearly he was using Spencer in comparison was adding to his 'basket of loonies'. After watching a few videos of Leyonhjelm and reading a few articles on Spencer, they aren't in a same class of radical at all. Clearly Leyonhjelm has some solidly extreme viewpoints, oddly 'liberal democrat' means something very different in Australia. He is very pro gun, very pro assisted suicide. 'does not compute' from usa point of view. Is it not ok in Australia to have viewpoints that aren't mainstream? I saw no evidence to group Leyonhjelm with Spencer. Leyonhjelm is pro individual rights to extreme, Spencer is the opposite, Pro 'his way' rights at the expense of somebody that doesn't agree with him.

I agree that using an obviously subjective term as an insult is pointless even counter productive to ones cause. (reduces the seriousness anybody else in the discussion can apply to the commentator using the derogatory terms). A fair term to use which is more objective would be 'extremist' or racial, perhaps. It is likely more accurate to say something like 'he represents a fringe element of the senate (or population)' or 'he is considered by many to be the 'crazy uncle' of our senate for example. Unless you actually have some authority to diagnose 'nutjobness', using a term like that will have an unintended consequence of getting the label shot right back on the person assigning the label.

He makes his case very strongly that he is an NRA supporter that wishes that Australia would have had the same there to prevent the confiscation of law-abiding citizen's legal weapons at a great cost to taxpayer. The fact that gun violence wasn't charged over time lends credence to his argument that it was a waste of time, money.

If you graph the already declining rate of gun homicide in australia for the decade before the infamous ban, you will see that the post-ban trend is basically the same downward trend, in other words, yes there is less gun homicide but that was already predicted. (Credit where due, it was already very low, still is very low, there are in-fact a lot of Guns in australia, just that the semi-automatic and pump-action are now only in the hands of criminals; the fact that with as many guns as there are yet a low gun homicide rate is noteworthy).

As far as 'mass shootings'; there are no big mass shootings since the ban which people will say 'proves it worked', however there have been about 70 people killed in australia in mass killings since the ban. Mostly with fire or vehicle crashing into public places. The usa has 13x the population that means the equivalent of 910 people were mass-murdered 'lone gunman' style in australia since the gun ban. In that same period, there have been about 400 mass-murders in the usa, most of which of course using guns, but when ratioed to our populations, that means there were the Australian equivalent of 29 mass-killing deaths in the usa in the past 20 years. Another way to compare that; 2.4x as many australians per capita have been killed in the past 20 years by 'lone killer' events. (since the gun ban took effect).

There is no way to equate that to gun control, e.g. "well it would have been much worse/better" picking one side or the other. I'm just trying to point out there is a lot of cherry picking when trying to use australia as an example of gun control, and once again, pointing out that with the 20 deaths per year due to mass-shooting events in the usa, that is a very low number in a population of 325,000,000, it just is. One out of 16.5 million is the yearly risk. 0.006 of 100k. With homicide risk being about 5 out of 100k, the 'epidemic of lone shooter' in the usa is borderline fairytale.

Comparing to Australia; 5.8 people per year, but with 1/ 13th the population, that means One of 4.3 million yearly risk, or 0.02 of 100k risk, also really 'nonexistent', but almost four times the risk.

I've pulled my numbers from wikipedia and there could be something missing but the science is sound. It's four times as likely to be mass-murdered in Australia than in the usa. (it's like a bazillion times more likely should you in the less likely change get mass-murdered in the usa, it will be at the dangerous end of a gun of course). Not exactly sure why it's 'so much more scary' to have the risk of being shot as opposed to burned to death. mass-murder did NOT go away post ban in australia.

I am perpetually annoyed by all the forces that put so much effort to move the needle on something that is a 1 in 16 million risk. Heart disease is a 1 in 1 risk in the usa for crying out loud. There is a 50% chance you will die of heart disease in the usa (of course that's lifetime risk not per year yikes). If you average out 70 years in 16mil chance though it still is 230,000x as likely to die from heart disease than a mass shooting. Put effort where it will help the most people, stop trying to change 0.3% into 0.1%, change 60% into 30% and save millions of lives.

andrewwynn 10-21-2017 03:12 PM

Does it mean we 'should do nothing' no of course not. Mental health and single-mom-by-choice are probably the two biggest factors in gun deaths in the usa, we should put the majority of the effort toward those causes. Solutions that keep guns out of the hands of unstable people should be entertained and encouraged.

bcredliner 10-22-2017 12:07 PM

[QUOTE=andrewwynn;1118870]What Crowz said.

Also, it was very confusing, blkadmin interjected this spencer guy while talking about Leyonhjelm. I was very confused. I believe the 'nut job' comment was directed at Leyonhjelm, though clearly he was using Spencer in comparison was adding to his 'basket of loonies'. After watching a few videos of Leyonhjelm and reading a few articles on Spencer, they aren't in a same class of radical at all. Clearly Leyonhjelm has some solidly extreme viewpoints, oddly 'liberal democrat' means something very different in Australia. He is very pro gun, very pro assisted suicide. 'does not compute' from usa point of view. Is it not ok in Australia to have viewpoints that aren't mainstream? I saw no evidence to group Leyonhjelm with Spencer. Leyonhjelm is pro individual rights to extreme, Spencer is the opposite, Pro 'his way' rights at the expense of somebody that doesn't agree with him.
As has been mentioned many times--viewpoints are opinions whether mainstream or other. That means it is useless to use viewpoints as validation of ones beliefs. That is especially true when the opinion is biased.


I agree that using an obviously subjective term as an insult is pointless even counter productive to ones cause. (reduces the seriousness anybody else in the discussion can apply to the commentator using the derogatory terms). A fair term to use which is more objective would be 'extremist' or racial, perhaps. It is likely more accurate to say something like 'he represents a fringe element of the senate (or population)' or 'he is considered by many to be the 'crazy uncle' of our senate for example. Unless you actually have some authority to diagnose 'nutjobness', using a term like that will have an unintended consequence of getting the label shot right back on the person assigning the label.

He makes his case very strongly that he is an NRA supporter that wishes that Australia would have had the same there to prevent the confiscation of law-abiding citizen's legal weapons at a great cost to taxpayer. The fact that gun violence wasn't charged over time lends credence to his argument that it was a waste of time, money.

Do you have a reputable study that is not outdated that shows what has happened to gun violence over just the last 10 years? BTW, when guns are removed, it doesn't remove criminals. I would expect assaults to increase. And, a study should show murders and wounded. How assaults are defined is imperative--are those the number that were wounded, assault means attacked.

If you graph the already declining rate of gun homicide in australia for the decade before the infamous ban, you will see that the post-ban trend is basically the same downward trend, in other words, yes there is less gun homicide but that was already predicted. (Credit where due, it was already very low, still is very low, there are in-fact a lot of Guns in australia, just that the semi-automatic and pump-action are now only in the hands of criminals; the fact that with as many guns as there are yet a low gun homicide rate is noteworthy).

A prediction is at best a calculated guess. Trends can change quickly for a myriad of reasons. Stating that if there is a gun ban, criminals will be the only ones with guns sounds logical but is dependent on how the ban is initiated and maintained. How do you know there are a lot of guns in Australia? If there are still a lot of guns in Australia and only criminals have guns, why is the gun violence down?

As far as 'mass shootings'; there are no big mass shootings since the ban which people will say 'proves it worked', however there have been about 70 people killed in australia in mass killings since the ban. Mostly with fire or vehicle crashing into public places. The usa has 13x the population that means the equivalent of 910 people were mass-murdered 'lone gunman' style in australia since the gun ban. In that same period, there have been about 400 mass-murders in the usa, most of which of course using guns, but when ratioed to our populations, that means there were the Australian equivalent of 29 mass-killing deaths in the usa in the past 20 years. Another way to compare that; 2.4x as many australians per capita have been killed in the past 20 years by 'lone killer' events. (since the gun ban took effect).

When comparing mass shootings, fire and vehicles can't be in the mix, just as you can't include 911. If you are trying to sell instead of killing with guns it is vehicles and fire. That is a completely separate problem and you have no clue if they would have used guns if they had been available.

There is no way to equate that to gun control, e.g. "well it would have been much worse/better" picking one side or the other. I'm just trying to point out there is a lot of cherry picking when trying to use australia as an example of gun control, and once again, pointing out that with the 20 deaths per year due to mass-shooting events in the usa, that is a very low number in a population of 325,000,000, it just is. One out of 16.5 million is the yearly risk. 0.006 of 100k. With homicide risk being about 5 out of 100k, the 'epidemic of lone shooter' in the usa is borderline fairytale.


Again, posted several times, mass shooting is just a part of the problem that gun control should address. Thus far, shooters have been stoped before they ran out of ammunition. Just to use Vegas as an example, the shooter had several guns and thousands of rounds of ammunition that he didn't use. And, when you evaluate gun violence murders is one category. To be accurate for comparison to anything it must be killed and wounded.

Comparing to Australia; 5.8 people per year, but with 1/ 13th the population, that means One of 4.3 million yearly risk, or 0.02 of 100k risk, also really 'nonexistent', but almost four times the risk.

I've pulled my numbers from wikipedia and there could be something missing but the science is sound. It's four times as likely to be mass-murdered in Australia than in the usa. (it's like a bazillion times more likely should you in the less likely change get mass-murdered in the usa, it will be at the dangerous end of a gun of course). Not exactly sure why it's 'so much more scary' to have the risk of being shot as opposed to burned to death. mass-murder did NOT go away post ban in australia.

Even when we search out a reliable study source it is worthless if our interpretation is inaccurate or we add comparisons to another source. Even if deaths by fire and vehicles is accurate it is ridiculous to bring it in evidence a gun problem has not gone away.


I am perpetually annoyed by all the forces that put so much effort to move the needle on something that is a 1 in 16 million risk. Heart disease is a 1 in 1 risk in the usa for crying out loud. There is a 50% chance you will die of heart disease in the usa (of course that's lifetime risk not per year yikes). If you average out 70 years in 16mil chance though it still is 230,000x as likely to die from heart disease than a mass shooting. Put effort where it will help the most people, stop trying to change 0.3% into 0.1%, change 60% into 30% and save millions of lives.[/QUOTE

Heart disease doesn't have anything to do with this. New drugs
and procedures are introduced frequently that reduce the chance of a heart attacks or the damage they can do. Certainly mass shooting put gun control in the headlines. They should. I've asked you why you NEED a gun that is a semi or automatic and has a 40 or more rounds at a time. Your only answer has been that you WANT one to play kick the can. Some of the assault weapons are war weapons. Are you expecting a domestic ground war?

andrewwynn 10-22-2017 10:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bcredliner (Post 1118907)
As has been mentioned many times--viewpoints are opinions whether mainstream or other. That means it is useless to use viewpoints as validation of ones beliefs. That is especially true when the opinion is biased.

Not entirely accurate or there wouldn't be the concept of polling. comparing viewpoints is exactly how we figure out what is the collective mindset. It doesn't necessarily mean much, but definitely more than 'useless'. It doesn't 'make you right' just because you are in a majority opinion. Famously the majority viewpoint in the usa was blacks were worth two thirds of a person, and that was 'perfectly ok' with a majority, who in the now majority opinion wrong. The majority opinion in the usa that says we don't need additional gun control laws could be wrong. It is of my opinion that we should not stop trying to find legislative ways to reduce gun crime
Do you have a reputable study that is not outdated that shows what has happened to gun violence over just the last 10 years? BTW, when guns are removed, it doesn't remove criminals. I would expect assaults to increase. And, a study should show murders and wounded. How assaults are defined is imperative--are those the number that were wounded, assault means attacked.
Don't need a 'study' just looking at the raw data shows that in the usa and in Australia gun violence as a whole has come way down. The raw numbers of people being shot and the percentage per population has come down in both cases. There were studies to try to figure out exactly why but i'm not sure of anything even close to conclusive. The most logical line of reasoning says that criminal element knowing that there are fewer armed prospective victims took advantage of that. Since their victims were unarmed, there wasn't any cause for escalation to actually puling the trigger; the bandit makes off with the wallet and nobody is shot. It's very reasonable to argue the point that is an improvement to back the anti-gun opinion (who wouldn't rather be robbed than shot dead?). Australia at the 'peak' of that post-ban rise in crime (up to about 50% higher rate of violent crime) is still a very low crime rate and nothing to be ashamed of. Australia is practically a 'crime free zone'. The criminality is shown by as you mentioned wounded and attacked rather than just shot dead. That is a very important factor and needs to be considered not ignored.

Why has gun violence declined in the usa

https://img.washingtonpost.com/blogs...unViolence.png

Fatal gun violence in the usa is half what it was 20 years ago and non-fatal gun violence (the type that got 50% worse for over five years in australia) dropped 75% in the past 20 years.
A prediction is at best a calculated guess. Trends can change quickly for a myriad of reasons. Stating that if there is a gun ban, criminals will be the only ones with guns sounds logical but is dependent on how the ban is initiated and maintained. How do you know there are a lot of guns in Australia? If there are still a lot of guns in Australia and only criminals have guns, why is the gun violence down?
Covering your last question first; gun violence wasn't down right after the ban gun MURDER was down, gun-related crime was up quite a lot for about 5 years. Overall, gun crime was already on the way down in the usa and in australia before the ban, there are many reasons suggested in the article i link below such as by killing off 15 million of the would have been the 'future gang members of america'. With the vast majority of non-suicide gun deaths coming from the inner city, and with abortion rates of 5x as high in the areas most affected by gangs it doesn't take a stretch to realize that by taking 15 million people out of the area where gun violence is the highest, there would be fewer gun crimes. There are many factors of why and nobody knows which of them are actually making a difference.

In australia when the guns were taken away, it is pretty clear that since not all legal owners turned in the guns (therefore becoming criminals), that actual criminals who by a larger percentage would keep their legal or illegal guns, this will put a larger percentage of illegal guns into the criminal element. It's easy to get a 'pulse' on gun ownership based on gun sales/imports/registrations. Australia – Firearm Imports (Number) - Customs

With roughly 50,000 guns/year imported into australia in 1995-6 but a spike to double that in 1997 in what could clearly be argued as a direct correlation like we see in the usa after every big lone shooter event, the lemming mentality of better buy now before they are outlawed. Imports dropped to less than half the pre-ban numbers by 1998 but steadily climbed for about 10 years until the annual import rate was higher than the pre-ban numbers. By 2012, the annual import of guns into australia passed the quantity of the freak-out post ban and continues to climb. Unless the government is buying all the guns and destroying them, they are mostly ending up in the hands of legal, licensed owners, therefore the million or so additional guns added in the past decade clearly means 'a lot of guns'. Considering the number of people in australia that adds another gun for every 20 or so people. Still nothing like the 1 to 1 ratio of americans.
When comparing mass shootings, fire and vehicles can't be in the mix, just as you can't include 911. If you are trying to sell instead of killing with guns it is vehicles and fire. That is a completely separate problem and you have no clue if they would have used guns if they had been available.
They absolutely have to be 'in the mix' it is actually fair to not include 911 into the mix because that is a war event not a criminal event. You have to include the alternatives to gun mass murder to determine if you have only changed the method of mass killing by removing one of the options. Like I said earlier, If the number of people killed per year in the 'loan nutbar' category doesn't change but the method just changes, that is evidence to support that gun control measures did nothing to save people it just caused a change in the method used and means we need to solve the problem not the symptom.
Again, posted several times, mass shooting is just a part of the problem that gun control should address. Thus far, shooters have been stoped before they ran out of ammunition. Just to use Vegas as an example, the shooter had several guns and thousands of rounds of ammunition that he didn't use. And, when you evaluate gun violence murders is one category. To be accurate for comparison to anything it must be killed and wounded.
As i've said from the very beginning i'm not in disagreement. What I *have* been saying from the beginning is 'proportional response' is the key. Work on the biggest things first and make a difference worth talking about.

Maybe we can have a database that has a reasonable cut-off-time of 60 or 90 days that catalogs who bought what, have that data expire so that it's not a 'registration' but can determine if somebody is stocking up. I'm not sure how much i'm afraid of registration even but I find that will be impossible to get through congress and I think the pick winnable battles should be the way to go.
Even when we search out a reliable study source it is worthless if our interpretation is inaccurate or we add comparisons to another source. Even if deaths by fire and vehicles is accurate it is ridiculous to bring it in evidence a gun problem has not gone away.
Not accurate on your part. it's very important to look into when you eliminate one problem, did it just make another problem worse. This would be like if you said we solved how to get rid of nuclear waste by dumping across the border into canada. You *must* research if the hazard just transferred somewhere else. Australia may have just swept their gun problem under a rug in other words.
Heart disease doesn't have anything to do with this. New drugs
and procedures are introduced frequently that reduce the chance of a heart attacks or the damage they can do. Certainly mass shooting put gun control in the headlines. They should. I've asked you why you NEED a gun that is a semi or automatic and has a 40 or more rounds at a time. Your only answer has been that you WANT one to play kick the can. Some of the assault weapons are war weapons. Are you expecting a domestic ground war?

Im using the heart disease as an example of focusing efforts where they count and will make the most sense. Proportional response. if 'mass shooting' is 0.5% of the problem do not spend 50% of the effort on it.

Any mass shooting event should bring attention to the situation but proportional response. The media hypes up that particular problem as if it's the biggest problem we have, it's so hyperbolic and FAR bigger problems are ignored because it's so sensational. Mass shootings are crack cocaine for the mass media, they are egregiously addicted to them. They should report more facts such as 20 deaths per year on average from them (also known as a bad weekend in chicago). As Rham Emanuel (Chicago mayor) famously said, don't let a catastrophe go to waste. Unfortunately the 'knee jerk' reaction is to assume you could come up with a solution to prevent that particular event to repeat itself rather than digging deeper to find more important causes to expend the energy.

My contention is that if you use the event as a catalyst to reduce the bigger gun-based crimes, you will reduce the active shooter problem as a sub-set of the bigger problem. Don't nibble at the tiny fraction, take a bite out of the big part of the problem.

Nobody *needs* a gun that rapid fires 40+ rounds. The fact we CAN own such a thing speaks an encyclopedia set of words about the freedom and liberty for the people of the united states. The fact we can at large trust 'the people' of the usa to have an outrageous amount of freedom is amazing. If other countries can't allow their citizenry that kind of freedom, that speaks volumes about that country. That is a perfect example of just how free america is and taking away that freedom would be an absolute insult to 'what is america'. We *could* as a nation decide to trade that freedom for 'forced civility' but having the past to use an example, eliminating the 'scary looking' guns did not make any significant improvement in gun related violence so what's the point of fighting for that cause?

answers inline

bcredliner 10-23-2017 02:36 PM

Guns in America: Attitudes and Experiences of Americans | Pew Research Center

The above study is quite long but it is very worthwhile to read a couple of times. Whether you are for or against gun control the discussion must start with a common base of understanding.

Those against stricter gun control largely base their position on second amendment rights rather than the facts that measure what the majority of Americans believe should be done, where there is already bipartisan support for changes and factual, current and supportive studies.

IMO pro gun believers retreat to 2nd amendment rights when their opinions are dispelled by the facts. Those that want more gun control are very willing to have a non partisan discussion about issues. It is clearly the pro gun folks that adamantly refuse to consider working together.

I certainly respect those that believe the constitution should never be changed but the foundation of a democracy is the will of the people.

One statistic that I haven't mention should be mentioned: 89% of gun owners are willing to admit that owning a gun is very or somewhat important to their overall identity. When combined with protection as the primary reason to own a gun and that a very high percentage of gun owned are revolvers, IMO it doesn't paint a pretty picture for our children.

I applaud countries that have rationally made changes based on current gun violence as intelligently adapting and focusing on a better future than protecting an 'ancient' past.

SigBoi 10-23-2017 04:44 PM

Wow this thread is still ongoing? Been away for a while, but I see you guys are still at it. Have fun ;)

But no luck finding any part numbers for the oem weapon door unfortunately.

andrewwynn 10-24-2017 05:33 PM

Here's a nifty solution i found:

http://www.e90post.com/forums/attach...4&d=1394134432

Would have to add a lock to the center console.

I found some very nice holsters for under the steering wheel, but non-locking; a combination of that solution and a flat lock-box that would fit under the passenger seat may work wonders.

http://www.thefirearmblog.com/blog/w...10/HK-door.jpg

Amazing solution i think police i germany use.

http://www.thefirearmblog.com/blog/w...tplaats-14.jpg

Another related german cop accessory.

I'm thinking this is along the lines of the original interest, correct?

https://images-na.ssl-images-amazon....L._SL1500_.jpg

A generic safe but i like this one it has a gas-strut to open the thing gives you a lot of options for mounting. I'm thinking of doing something like this; it could be mounted on the back of the passenger seat for reasonable access from driver.

A gun-magnet is used to hold in place in the safe.

I did a bunch of searching for any door-mounted solution like the two cop options above saw nothing OEM direct-fit.

I keep a socket set under my passenger seat but it's pretty thin, i don't think there is room for one of these safes under. I think there is enough extra padding in the seat, that the last example could be 'built in' flush; you could use some magnets to hold the pleather flap over the safe and it would be invisible.


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