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#1
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As the far left or far right is apt to do, you are trying to apply a single method of attack to a 350 million person population, spread across vast distances, with varying population densities, methods of transportation, with vastly different experiences of this pandemic. Some states haven't hit triple digit deaths yet. Let me ask this, how long do you think a shelter in place order would take to guarantee the virus would not come back? I think it would take until you could test every adult in the population.
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2005 X5 4.4i Build 04/05 Maintenance/Build Log Nav, Pano, Sport (Purchased 06/14 w/ 109,000 miles) (Sold 8/15 w/121,000 miles) 2006 X5 4.8is Build 11/05 Maintenance/Build Log Nav, DSP, Pano, Running Boards, OEM Tow Hitch, Cold Weather Pckg (Purchased 08/15 w/ 90,500 miles) 2010 X5 35d Build 02/10 Nav, HiFi, 6 DVD, Sports Pckg, Cold Weather Pckg, HUD, CAS, Running Boards, Leather Dash, PDC, Pano (Purchased 03/17 w/ 136,120 miles) Last edited by crystalworks; 04-24-2020 at 05:10 PM. |
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#2
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But there should be some basic rules that will apply across the board, for instance the requirement to wear masks when in public, making Purell or equivalent available for all meetings or at access points and keeping 6 ft apart, etc, especially when the interaction is across statelines. I'm certainly no expert but I have been waiting thus far without joy to see some concrete and thoughtful plan to open the economy from the federal level . As for the exact duration for implementing the stay at home order, this is certainly not an easy question to answer. Stay home too long and you won't have an economy to go back to, stay too short and you risk expanding an ever increasing infected population. "Hammer and dance", is probably a good approach. You "tiptoe", or open the economy in a limited fashion while maintaining all prevention measures available, and see what happens. If the infection rate goes up, you bring down the hammer (the stay home mandate). It's not going to be a smooth transition. There's going to be a lot of start and stop. But it might just be the new norm that brings us control over our lives and over this nasty virus.
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2003 X5 4.6is Estoril Blue, acquired March 2018 2013 128i M Sport 6 MT Space Grey daily driver 2010 535xi 6 MT Barbera Red Last edited by Maruzo; 04-24-2020 at 05:37 PM. |
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#3
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All of those things above have been mandated by our city mayor and county judge in San Antonio regarding moving around the city. Masks, social distancing, etc. I wish they would also add limiting shopping parties to 1 member of the family if 2 adults are present. No reason to have 2 parents and all the kids (however few or many that may be) doing the shopping. But that's how it goes, no policy or policy maker is ever going to be perfect. But what business owners and the working class are upset about is that gov't is restricting their right to operate and actually pay their bills. They would be happy to institute any measure to try and ensure their patrons' safety via masks, social distancing, etc. but haven't even been given that option. I'm all for shutting down any business being irresponsible. Surely you can see their the situation from their point of view? Imagine waking up everyday knowing that the 1st of next month is coming around and you will have bills to pay. You haven't worked in a month + and even if you have savings built up, you worked for who knows how many years to build that. You might be dipping into your retirement, or kids' college funds, or worse you might be using your food budget to pay your rent or mortgage, utilities, etc. No one was upset for the first 40 days as everyone understood an initial assessment had to be made. "How bad is this thing?" "Do we have enough supplies built up?" "Are there any treatments?" And the list goes on and on as this was a completely unknown virus. Well it's been 6 weeks, we now know (generally) a mortality rate, what age groups and populations are most vulnerable, etc. We are not anywhere near capacity in most health care locations. So supplies are available should there be a spike from a limited opening. What I'm saying, and I think a few of the others are saying, is that we are now knowledgeable enough about this to start trying to move towards getting back to earning a living for ourselves and our families. If you have the means, and the desire, staying at home will still be an option for those who are fortunate enough to be unaffected by a stay at home order.
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2005 X5 4.4i Build 04/05 Maintenance/Build Log Nav, Pano, Sport (Purchased 06/14 w/ 109,000 miles) (Sold 8/15 w/121,000 miles) 2006 X5 4.8is Build 11/05 Maintenance/Build Log Nav, DSP, Pano, Running Boards, OEM Tow Hitch, Cold Weather Pckg (Purchased 08/15 w/ 90,500 miles) 2010 X5 35d Build 02/10 Nav, HiFi, 6 DVD, Sports Pckg, Cold Weather Pckg, HUD, CAS, Running Boards, Leather Dash, PDC, Pano (Purchased 03/17 w/ 136,120 miles) |
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#4
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In a few weeks a spike could fairly easily put us right back where we were or even worse. If that were to happen we are back to not working staying at home, perhaps even longer than 6 weeks. One of the things the experts are adamant about is we should be in the containment phase to open some businesses If not, the best of plans is a shot in the dark. The containment phase is dependent on a some level of new infections, testing capabilities and the staff to do the amount of tracing needed to make prevent the spike. I have not heard of any state, city or county that has stated they are ready but that is also another discussion. Don't know about you but I don't see Texas state government do anything other than screwing up even a good plan and they override anything cities are doing. Here's hoping where everyone works or your businesses are in the first wave to be opened, all goes well and the economy bounces back quickly. Again, good summary, well done!
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Dallas |
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#5
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None of the medical experts that I know of have taken a definitive position on how long it would take, too many variables. I have heard one say only that it should be significantly better in July or August but that depends on how well citizens follow the guidelines to prevent infection. That included how much testing and tracing is possible and did include carefully staged openings of the economy in some areas in May and others out to June or July.
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Dallas |
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